Florida's Unpredictable Weather is About to Wreak Havoc on the NFL Sunday Slate
Meteorologist Kevin Roth warns that three NFL games in Florida could be impacted by rain and wind, sending bettors and fantasy managers scrambling to check the radar.
HotTakes Editorial TeamUpdated 1 min read
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If you were planning to spend your Sunday morning peacefully setting your fantasy lineups, I have bad news. The state of Florida has decided to turn tomorrow’s NFL slate into a massive, unpredictable slip-and-slide.
According to sports meteorologist Kevin Roth, we are staring down three potential rain games tomorrow. The Miami Dolphins, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are all in the splash zone. The catch is that Florida weather is basically a random number generator, meaning we will not know if the rain is actually hitting the stadiums until the pregame radar loads.
"Kevin Roth noted we will need to see pregame radar to know which games get rain over the stadium and which get rain nearby."
The betting markets are already flinching. The over/under lines for all three matchups have ticked down since opening, with the total for the Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay dropping to 43.5 and the Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville dipping to 46.5.
The late afternoon window is where things could get truly gross. When the New England Patriots visit Miami, they are looking at an 80-degree swamp with a 66 percent chance of rain and wind gusts up to 24 miles per hour.
For context, trying to throw a deep ball in 24-mile-per-hour gusts while a localized monsoon dumps on the field is like trying to play darts out the window of a moving sedan. It is not impossible, but it is going to look incredibly ugly.
The Dolphins are already dealing with enough offensive headaches without the weather getting involved. With De'Von Achane sitting on injured reserve with a torn ACL and multiple guys like Aaron Brewer and Chop Robinson banged up, a sloppy track is the last thing Miami needs to get right.
This is the part of the season where casual fans watch the pregame shows and the sickos watch the Doppler radar. If you are holding tickets on player props or game totals in any of these three Florida matchups, do yourself a favor and wait until the absolute last minute to lock them in.
Key stats
66% chance of rain and 24 mph wind gusts expected in Miami
O/U for Atlanta at Tampa Bay dropped from 44.5 to 43.5
O/U for Indianapolis at Jacksonville dropped from 47.5 to 46.5
What's next
Bettors and fantasy managers will need to monitor the Doppler radar right up until kickoff for the 1:00 PM and 4:25 PM ET windows before finalizing their lineups and slips.

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