Kyle Daukaus Hits 186 Pounds for UFC Edmonton, But the Math is Still Against Him

Kyle Daukaus hit the scale at exactly 186.0 pounds for UFC Edmonton, officially locking in his middleweight bout according to Aaron Bronsteter.

Weigh-ins are the only sporting event where stepping on a scale and looking severely dehydrated is cause for public applause. Daukaus used every single ounce of the one-pound non-title allowance to make his fight official.

"Aaron Bronsteter reported the official weigh-in result of 186.0 lbs."

He is stepping into the cage as a +280 underdog against Marc-Andre Barriault. Barriault weighed in at a comfortable 184 pounds, giving up a little bit of size to the 6-foot-2 Daukaus.

But size only matters if you can avoid getting hit in the face. Daukaus currently absorbs 3.23 significant strikes per minute while only landing 2.86 of his own.

That is the kind of negative math that usually ends with a referee stepping in to save you. His 42 percent striking defense rate is less of a defensive guard and more of a polite suggestion for his opponent to miss.

Bettors are clearly looking at those striking deficits when pricing Daukaus as a heavy underdog this weekend. You do not need a degree in advanced analytics to see why the market is fading a fighter who statistically takes more damage than he dishes out.

Now that the miserable weight cut is over, Daukaus has to actually fight. He will need to drag this matchup into the grappling realm quickly on Saturday night, or that 186-pound frame is just going to be a stationary target.