HotTakes Blog:
Your Guide to
Smarter Betting
Your Guide to
Smarter Betting


The Weather Game Mispricing: When to Hammer the Under (And When to Fade It)
Market Inefficiencies
Your Betting Model Is Probably Making You Worse
Market InefficienciesMental Edge
What Happens When Markets Actually Get It Right
Market Inefficiencies
The Key Number Myth: Why 3 and 7 Don't Matter as Much as You Think Anymore
Market Inefficiencies
The Divisional Game Delusion: Why 'They Know Each Other' Doesn't Mean What You Think
Market Inefficiencies
The Closing Line Lie: Why Following 'Sharp' Money Isn't Actually Sharp
Market Inefficiencies
The Player Prop Goldmine: How Books Profit from Fantasy Football Thinking
Market Inefficiencies
Why Primetime Games Are Sharp Money's Favorite ATM Machine
Market Inefficiencies