A -6000 Favorite Just Lost on the Contender Series, and the Math is Hilarious
Alex Apodaca pulled off a massive upset over -6000 favorite Bella Mir by unanimous decision, leaving bettors stunned and Mir with a potential broken nose.
HotTakes Editorial TeamUpdated 1 min read
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If you ever need proof that sports betting is just setting your money on fire with extra steps, look no further than Dana White's Contender Series. Alex Apodaca just pulled off one of the most absurd upsets in recent MMA memory, defeating Bella Mir by unanimous decision.
Mir walked into the cage as a -6000 favorite. For context, at those odds, you would have had to wager the price of a decent used Honda Civic just to win enough money to buy a fast-food combo meal. Instead, anyone holding a Mir ticket just watched their bankroll evaporate over 15 minutes of cage fighting.
"Ariel Helwani reported that Mir's takedown wasn't there, Apodaca was game, and Mir may have suffered a broken nose."
The fight actually started exactly how the oddsmakers expected. Mir took the first round on the scorecards, looking like the undefeated 23-year-old prospect she was billed as. But then the takedowns completely vanished, and the reality of a fistfight set in.
Apodaca, fighting out of the women's bantamweight division with a 3-1 record, proved to be entirely too game for the heavy favorite. Once Mir could no longer dictate where the fight took place, Apodaca took over on the feet and swept the final two rounds to secure the 29-28 scorecards across the board.
To make matters worse for the previously 4-0 Mir, she didn't just lose her undefeated record. According to Ariel Helwani, Mir likely suffered a broken nose during the striking exchanges, adding a painful physical toll to a historically bad night at the betting window.
Now the UFC matchmakers have a mess to sort out. Apodaca just derailed a massive hype train and proved she belongs in the 135-pound conversation, while Mir faces a lengthy medical suspension and a brutal rebuilding phase once her nose heals.
Key stats
Bella Mir was a -6000 favorite.
Alex Apodaca won via unanimous decision with 29-28 scores across all three cards.
Apodaca entered the fight with a 3-1 record.
Mir entered the fight as an undefeated 4-0 prospect.
What's next
Apodaca's stock rises significantly in the 135-pound division, while Mir faces a medical suspension for her nose and a tough rebuilding process to regain her prospect status.

Key stats



