HotTakes Blog:
Your Guide to
Smarter Betting
Your Guide to
Smarter Betting


Vig Math That Actually Changes How You Bet
Game Theory
Peak-End Rule: Why You Remember Variance, Not Process
Mental Edge
Alberta's About to Go All-In: Why Wild Rose Country Is Perfectly Built for Sports Betting
Responsible Gaming
Implied Probability vs True Probability: Your Only Edge That Actually Matters
Mental Edge
HotTakes 4.5 Just Dropped: Introducing the Marketplace
HotTakes News
Pre-Commit or Regret: Why You Need Rules Before You Need Them
Responsible Gaming
Your Gut Feeling Is Just Yesterday's Loss Wearing a Disguise
Mental Edge
The 0-4 Start That Taught Me Everything About Variance
Real-Time Reactions
The Nash Equilibrium of Live Betting: When to Bet and When to Wait
Mental Edge
Chasing vs Strategic Recovery: Know the Difference Before You're Broke
Responsible Gaming
The Weather Game Mispricing: When to Hammer the Under (And When to Fade It)
Market Inefficiencies
The Math Behind Why 'One Big Win' Will Never Save You
Responsible Gaming