HotTakes Blog:
Your Guide to
Smarter Betting
Your Guide to
Smarter Betting


Vig Math That Actually Changes How You Bet
Game Theory
Peak-End Rule: Why You Remember Variance, Not Process
Mental Edge
Alberta's About to Go All-In: Why Wild Rose Country Is Perfectly Built for Sports Betting
Responsible Gaming
Coaching Staff Changes: Ignore the Headlines, Follow the Playcallers
Real-Time Reactions
Implied Probability vs True Probability: Your Only Edge That Actually Matters
Mental Edge
Playoff Picture Desperation: When Motivation Actually Moves Lines
Real-Time Reactions
I'm Only Betting What I Can Afford to Lose
Responsible Gaming
Pre-Commit or Regret: Why You Need Rules Before You Need Them
Responsible Gaming
Your Gut Feeling Is Just Yesterday's Loss Wearing a Disguise
Mental Edge
The 0-4 Start That Taught Me Everything About Variance
Real-Time Reactions
The Nash Equilibrium of Live Betting: When to Bet and When to Wait
Mental Edge
Chasing vs Strategic Recovery: Know the Difference Before You're Broke
Responsible Gaming