HotTakes Blog:
Your Guide to
Smarter Betting

Feb 3, 2026

Vig Math That Actually Changes How You Bet

Jan 27, 2026

Peak-End Rule: Why You Remember Variance, Not Process

Jan 20, 2026

Alberta's About to Go All-In: Why Wild Rose Country Is Perfectly Built for Sports Betting

Jan 6, 2026

Implied Probability vs True Probability: Your Only Edge That Actually Matters

Dec 2, 2025

Your Gut Feeling Is Just Yesterday's Loss Wearing a Disguise

Nov 20, 2025

The 0-4 Start That Taught Me Everything About Variance

Nov 18, 2025

The Nash Equilibrium of Live Betting: When to Bet and When to Wait

Nov 11, 2025

Chasing vs Strategic Recovery: Know the Difference Before You're Broke

Nov 6, 2025

The Weather Game Mispricing: When to Hammer the Under (And When to Fade It)

Oct 30, 2025

The Math Behind Why 'One Big Win' Will Never Save You

Oct 28, 2025

Why Your Brain Wants You to Chase Losses (And How to Shut It Down)

Oct 21, 2025

Your Betting Model Is Probably Making You Worse